As the surrounding market warms up, Shanghai Jiao may make up for the rise
Abstract
this week is the first complete trading week after the long holiday. However, under the condition that the surrounding market is obviously warmer and the industry data is better than expected, the price of Shanghai Jiao is only fluctuating in a narrow range, which is relatively weak
the main positive factors are that yunken 10 ; Domestic auto production and sales reached the annual expectation ahead of schedule, breaking the 10 million mark; The international crude oil price is close to the $80 mark, and the Japanese rubber index hit a new high this week
however, the high growth in the number of registered warehouse receipts in the exchange may offset the impact of the above factors. We can also decide whether to add colors, plasticizers, conductive materials or other materials. Therefore, we believe that in the absence of a relatively obvious correction in the surrounding market, Shanghai rubber may take a certain time to digest the current inventory, and the possibility of future market rise is higher. In terms of operation, we should pay attention to the narrow range of shocks formed by the main contracts in the short term and take advantage of the trend, but we can consider reducing the margin proportion occupied by empty orders to avoid the risk caused by the rapid replenishment of Shanghai Jiao
I. market review this week
1. Review of the transaction of Shanghai Jiao futures contract this week
the Shanghai Jiao futures contract fluctuated narrowly this week. The transaction range of main contract 1001 was mainly between 18500 and 18900. Although there were two trading days when we explored the position of 19000, we always failed. The position of 1001 contract increased by 31132 hands this week, and the differences between the long and short sides intensified. On Thursday, the price of crude oil in the overnight market rose sharply, while on Friday, after the Shanghai rubber market opened slightly higher, it was shaken and consolidated throughout the day, and still failed to break through the highs of the previous four trading days. In the case of crude oil market and Japanese rubber market, the performance of Shanghai rubber market is weak
Table 1 Shanghai Futures Exchange Natural Rubber Weekly transaction data table ()
variety
weekly opening price
highest price
lowest price
weekly closing price
rise and fall
position
position change
weekend
settlement price
trading volume
transaction amount (10000 yuan)
ru0910
17600
17900
17000
17470
-90
1072
556
17460
884
7716.92
ru0911
17800
18590
17560
17800
0
12186
1426
17825
8306
73902.31
ru1001
18660
19005
18370
18690
100
130948
31132
18690
ru1003
19100
19400
18860
19110
70
38010
8162
19110
185246
ru1004
19270
19495
19040
19230
15
48
4
19145
46
444.72
ru1005
19390
19990
19250
19395
95
5188
2118
19380
9530
92775.64
ru1006
19480
19800
19315
19370
-220
56
-8
19500
78
763.87
ru1007
19630
19925
19500
the measuring surface is installed on the upper right side of the rack 19550
-155
326
-2
19575
690
6794.36
ru1008
19630
19900
19500
19600
-130
28
-2
19760
22
217.34
ru1009
20100
Gb/t16491 ⑴ 99620200
19700
19850
-55
174
44
19870
reliable processing quality and good uniformity; The processed samples fully meet gb/t229 (2) 010 essentials of Charpy Notch Impact Test for metallic materials, or ASTM EA, EN10045, iso148 Iso083 and other international standards
822
8216.49
ru1010
19705
20040
19660
19920
6
19870
58
576.34
total
188042
43436
source: Shanghai Futures Exchange
note: this reprint is for the purpose of transmitting more information, It does not mean that they agree with their views or confirm the authenticity of their content
LINK
Copyright © 2011 JIN SHI